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Richard Clissold-Vasey

Strategic Advisor on climate-integrated business performance.

​I work with strategy leaders to identify where climate and resource pressures could weaken the business plan before they become performance problems. Together, we establish which areas of exposure are real and material, uncover why they have not been addressed, and define the changes needed in planning, investment and governance.

The issue is not simply climate risk. It is whether the assumptions behind growth, margin, investment and resilience still hold, and whether the business is equipped to respond.

Over 30 years working in strategy execution and transformation, I have seen plans falter when their assumptions no longer match reality. Climate and resource pressures are widening that gap. I now spend my time helping leaders bring these realities into the decisions that shape the business.

Why business plans develop hidden weaknesses

The assumptions behind the plan are changing

The assumptions behind the plan are changing. Energy, carbon cost, water, supply reliability, regulation and customer expectations are now business variables that can affect margin, resilience, investment returns and competitiveness.

Many plans have not caught up

Many plans have not caught up. These pressures are often understood somewhere in the organisation, but not translated into the business plan, capital allocation, portfolio choices or operating decisions early enough to matter.

Weak assumptions become performance problems

Weak assumptions become performance problems. When material variables are missed or underweighted, investment can be mispriced, trade-offs are resolved too late and opportunities to move earlier than competitors can be lost.

Energy and carbon costs, water availability, supply reliability, regulation and customer expectations are changing. A business plan that assumes yesterday’s conditions will continue can overstate margins, promise growth the business cannot deliver, or commit capital to investments that earn less than expected. Responding late can also leave competitors better placed to meet new customer needs.

Which parts of your business plan depend on conditions that are changing?

Your margin forecast may assume that higher energy and material costs can be passed on without losing sales. Your growth plan may depend on suppliers delivering more, just as water shortages or extreme weather constrain their production. A new facility may meet today’s investment criteria but face higher operating costs, unreliable water supplies or additional regulatory requirements during its working life.

These pressures can affect several parts of the plan at once: a supply disruption can reduce sales, increase costs and delay the returns expected from an investment.

Procurement, Operations or Sustainability may already see the warning signs. Before the next board discussion, have those signals changed the forecast, the investment case or the actions agreed by the people accountable for delivery?

48% within two years

In CDP’s 2026 analysis, companies expected 48% of their reported extreme-weather risks to materialise within two years. This puts many of these risks inside the current planning cycle.

Source: CDP, 12 May 2026. Company-reported risk expectations, not a forecast for every business.

What Needs to Change

Climate integration requires practical changes to how strategy is developed, investment is assessed, governance works and delivery is managed. The work is to identify where climate and resource pressures are not entering core decisions, then adjust the planning processes, governance forums and delivery routines that shape business performance.

Diagram showing how climate, energy, water and supply chain pressures affect business performance, and how planning, capital allocation and governance protect margin, growth and returns.

Business Plan Weaknesses Diagnostic

The Business Plan Weakness Diagnostic is the starting point: a focused review of where climate-related risks, constraints and opportunities are not yet built into business decisions, and what needs to change first.

Integrated Value Planning

Integrated Value Planning is the framework: a practical way to connect strategy, finance, sustainability, risk and transformation planning.

Climate-Integrated Enterprise

The Climate-Integrated Enterprise is the destination: an organisation where climate and natural-resource pressures are built into the decisions that shape strategy, investment, governance, operations and performance.

Explore the work in more detail

If you are considering how climate and resource pressures affect the business plan, start with the briefings. If you are looking for practical ways to assess gaps in planning, governance, investment or delivery, explore the tools.

Confident satisfied senior female chief strategy officer reading document sitting at table with coffee cup

Briefings 

Business-facing articles on climate integration, strategy, planning, governance and long-term value.

Tools

Practical prompts and frameworks for testing where climate ambition, business planning and delivery may be disconnected.

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